max-202302230001818383FALSE00018183832023-02-232023-02-23
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
_____________________________
FORM 8-K
_____________________________
CURRENT REPORT
PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 23, 2023
_____________________________
MediaAlpha, Inc.
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
_____________________________
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Delaware | 001-39671 | 85-1854133 |
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (IRS Employer Identification No.) |
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700 South Flower Street, Suite 640 Los Angeles, California | 90017 |
(Address of Principal Executive Offices) | (Zip Code) |
(213) 316-6256
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
(Not Applicable)
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
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| Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): |
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o | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
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o | Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
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o | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
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o | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
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Title of each class | | Trading Symbol(s) | | Name of each exchange on which registered |
Class A common stock, $0.01 par value | | MAX | | New York Stock Exchange |
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| Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company o If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o |
ITEM 2.02 – Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On February 23, 2023, MediaAlpha, Inc. (“MediaAlpha”) issued a press release and an accompanying shareholder letter announcing its financial results as of and for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2022, and its financial outlook for the first quarter of 2023. Copies of the press release and shareholder letter are furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, to this Form 8-K and are incorporated by reference herein.
This information shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
MediaAlpha refers to non-GAAP financial information in the press release and shareholder letter. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable GAAP financial measures is contained in each document.
ITEM 9.01 – Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(d) Exhibits
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Exhibit No. | Description |
99.1 | |
99.2 | |
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
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| MediaAlpha, Inc. |
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Date: February 23, 2023 | By: | /s/ Jeffrey B. Coyne |
| | Name: | Jeffrey B. Coyne |
| | Title: | General Counsel & Secretary |
DocumentMEDIAALPHA ANNOUNCES FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR 2022
FINANCIAL RESULTS
•Fourth quarter revenue of $124 million, down 23% year over year; Full year revenue of $459 million, down 29% year over year
•Fourth quarter Transaction Value of $169 million, down 31% year over year; Full year Transaction Value of $738 million, down 28% year over year
•Fourth quarter Transaction Value from Property & Casualty down 53% year over year to $57 million; Full year Transaction Value from Property & Casualty down 39% year over year to $400 million
•Fourth quarter Transaction Value from Health flat year over year at $99 million; Full year Transaction Value from Health up 3% year over year to $251 million
Los Angeles, CA (February 23, 2023) – MediaAlpha, Inc. (NYSE: MAX), today announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2022.
“Our fourth quarter results exceeded expectations, driven primarily by strong carrier spend in our Health insurance vertical," said MediaAlpha co-founder and CEO Steve Yi. "While our Property & Casualty (P&C) insurance vertical continued to be negatively impacted by the pullback in customer acquisition spend, the tide has since turned, and we have seen a positive inflection in auto insurance carrier spend in early 2023. As a result, we expect Transaction Value in our P&C vertical to nearly double in the first quarter on a sequential basis, which is well above our normal seasonal pattern. While many carriers remain on the sidelines, we are cautiously optimistic they will catch up over the next several quarters, driving strong growth for MediaAlpha.”
Fourth Quarter 2022 Financial Results
•Revenue of $124.0 million, a decrease of 23% year over year;
•Transaction Value of $168.9 million, a decrease of 31% year over year;
•Gross margin of 16.2%, compared with 15.7% in the fourth quarter of 2021;
•Contribution Margin(1) of 18.5%, compared with 16.6% in the fourth quarter of 2021;
•Net loss of $(28.4) million, compared with $(4.0) million in the fourth quarter of 2021; and
•Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $9.0 million, compared with $13.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2021.
Full Year 2022 Financial Results
•Revenue of $459.1 million, a decrease of 29% year over year;
•Transaction Value of $737.5 million, a decrease of 28% year over year;
•Gross margin of 15.3%, compared with 15.7% in 2021;
•Contribution Margin(1) of 17.6%, compared with 16.7% in 2021;
•Net loss of $(72.4) million, compared with $(8.5) million in 2021; and
•Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $22.9 million, compared with $58.2 million in 2021.
(1)A reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP financial measures has been provided at the end of this press release. An explanation of these measures is also included below under the heading “Non-GAAP Financial Measures.”
Financial Outlook
Our guidance for Q1 2023 reflects typical seasonality along with an improvement in market conditions in our P&C vertical compared with Q4 2022, although click pricing is expected to be down on a year-over-year basis. In our Health vertical, we expect modest year-over-year growth in Transaction Value as we continue deepening our relationships with key carriers. For the Life and Other verticals, we expect Transaction Value to decline year over year at a similar rate as in Q4 2022. Due to the uncertainty around the timing and slope of the P&C market recovery, we are not providing full year 2023 guidance.
For the first quarter of 2023, MediaAlpha currently expects the following:
•Transaction Value between $180 million - $195 million, representing a 22% year-over-year decline at the midpoint of the guidance range, driven primarily by our P&C vertical. We expect P&C Transaction Value to nearly double in Q1 2023 compared with Q4 2022, indicative of both the early stages of recovery from the hard market and normal seasonality. Although we are encouraged by these early signs of recovery, we still expect P&C Transaction Value to be well below Q1 2022 levels.
•Revenue between $106 million - $116 million, representing a 22% year-over-year decline at the midpoint of the guidance range.
•Adjusted EBITDA between $5.5 million - $7.5 million, representing a 9% year-over-year decline at the midpoint of the guidance range. We expect Adjusted EBITDA to decline at a lower rate than Transaction Value, Revenue and Contribution in Q1 2023 due to our continued discipline in managing our expenses. We expect our cash operating expenses to be in line with Q4 2022.
With respect to the Company’s projection of Adjusted EBITDA under “Financial Outlook,” MediaAlpha is not providing a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to net income (loss) because the Company is unable to predict with reasonable certainty the reconciling items that may affect net income (loss) without unreasonable effort, including equity-based compensation, transaction expenses and income tax expense. These reconciling items are uncertain, depend on various factors and could significantly impact, either individually or in the aggregate, the corresponding GAAP measures for the applicable period.
For a detailed explanation of the Company’s non-GAAP measures, please refer to the appendix section of this press release.
Conference Call Information
MediaAlpha will host a Q&A conference call today to discuss the Company's fourth quarter and full year 2022 results and its financial outlook for the first quarter of 2023 at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time (5:00 p.m. Eastern Time). A live audio webcast of the call will be available on the MediaAlpha Investor Relations website at https://investors.mediaalpha.com. To register for the webcast, click here. Participants may also dial-in, toll-free, at (888) 330-2022 or (646) 960-0690, with passcode 3195092. An audio replay of the conference call will be available for two weeks following the call and available on the MediaAlpha Investor Relations website at https://investors.mediaalpha.com.
We have also posted to our investor relations website a letter to shareholders. We have used, and intend to continue to use, our investor relations website at https://investors.mediaalpha.com as a means of disclosing material nonpublic information and for complying with our disclosure obligations under Regulation FD.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including without limitation statements regarding our expectation that Transaction Value in our P&C vertical will nearly double in the first quarter on a sequential basis; our expectation that carrier marketing spend will increase over the next several quarters; and our financial outlook for the first quarter of 2023. These forward-looking statements reflect our current views with respect to, among other things, future events and our financial performance. These statements are often, but not always, made through the use of words or phrases such as “may,” “should,” “could,” “predict,” “potential,” “believe,” “will likely result,” “expect,” “continue,” “will,” “anticipate,” “seek,” “estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “projection,” “would,” and “outlook,” or the negative version of those words or other comparable words or phrases of a future or forward-looking nature. These forward-looking statements are not historical facts, and are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about our industry, management’s beliefs and certain assumptions made by management, many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and beyond our control. Accordingly, we caution you that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, assumptions and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable as of the date made, actual results may prove to be materially different from the results expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.
There are or will be important factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these forward-looking statements, including those more fully described in MediaAlpha’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including the Form 10-K as of and for the year ended December 31, 2022 to be filed on or about February 27, 2023. These factors should not be construed as exhaustive. MediaAlpha disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that occur after the date of this press release.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Operating Metrics
This press release includes Adjusted EBITDA and Contribution Margin, which are non-GAAP financial measures. The Company also presents Transaction Value, which is an operating metric not presented in accordance with GAAP. See the appendix for definitions of Adjusted EBITDA, Contribution, Contribution Margin and Transaction Value, as well as reconciliations to the corresponding GAAP financial metrics, as applicable.
We present Transaction Value, Adjusted EBITDA and Contribution Margin because they are used extensively by our management and board of directors to manage our operating performance, including evaluating our operational performance against budget and assessing our overall operating efficiency and operating leverage. Accordingly, we believe that Transaction Value, Adjusted EBITDA and Contribution Margin provide useful information to investors and others in understanding and evaluating our operating results in the same manner as our management team and board of directors. Each of Transaction Value, Adjusted EBITDA and Contribution Margin has limitations as a financial measure and investors should not consider it in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our results as reported under GAAP.
Contacts:
Investors
Denise Garcia
Hayflower Partners
Denise@HayflowerPartners.com
Press
Joel Samen
Joel@MediaAlpha.com
MediaAlpha, Inc. and subsidiaries
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(In thousands, except share data and per share amounts)
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| As of December 31, |
| 2022 (unaudited) | | 2021 |
Assets | | | |
Current assets | | | |
Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 14,542 | | | $ | 50,564 | |
Accounts receivable, net of allowance for credit losses of $575 and $609, respectively | 59,998 | | | 76,094 | |
Prepaid expenses and other current assets | 5,880 | | | 10,448 | |
Total current assets | $ | 80,420 | | | $ | 137,106 | |
Intangible assets, net | 32,932 | | | 12,567 | |
Goodwill | 47,739 | | | 18,402 | |
Deferred tax assets | — | | | 102,656 | |
Other assets | 8,990 | | | 19,073 | |
Total assets | $ | 170,081 | | | $ | 289,804 | |
Liabilities and stockholders' deficit | | | |
Current liabilities | | | |
Accounts payable | 53,992 | | | 61,770 | |
Accrued expenses | 14,130 | | | 13,716 | |
Current portion of long-term debt | 8,770 | | | 8,730 | |
Total current liabilities | $ | 76,892 | | | $ | 84,216 | |
Long-term debt, net of current portion | 174,300 | | | 178,069 | |
Liabilities under tax receivables agreement, net of current portion | — | | | 85,027 | |
Other long-term liabilities | 4,973 | | | 4,058 | |
Total liabilities | $ | 256,165 | | | $ | 351,370 | |
Commitments and contingencies (Note 8) | | | |
Stockholders' (deficit): | | | |
Class A common stock, $0.01 par value - 1.0 billion shares authorized; 43.7 million and 41.0 million shares issued and outstanding as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively | 437 | | | 410 | |
Class B common stock, $0.01 par value - 100 million shares authorized; 18.9 million and 19.6 million shares issued and outstanding as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively | 189 | | | 196 | |
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value - 50 million shares authorized; 0 shares issued and outstanding as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021 | — | | | — | |
Additional paid-in capital | 465,523 | | | 419,533 | |
Accumulated deficit | (482,142) | | | (424,476) | |
Total stockholders' (deficit) attributable to MediaAlpha, Inc. | $ | (15,993) | | | $ | (4,337) | |
Non-controlling interests | (70,091) | | | (57,229) | |
Total stockholders' (deficit) | $ | (86,084) | | | $ | (61,566) | |
Total liabilities and stockholders' deficit | $ | 170,081 | | | $ | 289,804 | |
MediaAlpha, Inc. and subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Operations
(In thousands, except share data and per share amounts)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Year ended December 31, |
| 2022 (unaudited) | | 2021 | | 2020 |
Revenue | $ | 459,072 | | | $ | 645,274 | | | $ | 584,814 | |
Costs and operating expenses | | | | | |
Cost of revenue | 389,013 | | | 543,750 | | | 499,434 | |
Sales and marketing | 28,816 | | | 22,823 | | | 20,483 | |
Product development | 21,077 | | | 15,195 | | | 12,449 | |
General and administrative | 55,556 | | | 61,357 | | | 32,913 | |
Total costs and operating expenses | 494,462 | | | 643,125 | | | 565,279 | |
(Loss) income from operations | (35,390) | | | 2,149 | | | 19,535 | |
Other (income) expense, net | (75,094) | | | 3,841 | | | 2,302 | |
Interest expense | 9,245 | | | 7,830 | | | 7,938 | |
Total other (income) expense, net | (65,849) | | | 11,671 | | | 10,240 | |
Income (loss) before income taxes | 30,459 | | | (9,522) | | | 9,295 | |
Income tax expense (benefit) | 102,905 | | | (1,047) | | | (1,267) | |
Net (loss) income | $ | (72,446) | | | $ | (8,475) | | | $ | 10,562 | |
Net income attributable to QLH prior to Reorganization Transactions | — | | | — | | | 19,166 | |
Net (loss) attributable to non-controlling interest | (14,780) | | | (3,200) | | | (4,238) | |
Net (loss) attributable to MediaAlpha, Inc. | $ | (57,666) | | | $ | (5,275) | | | $ | (4,366) | |
Net (loss) per share of Class A common stock | | | | | |
-Basic | $ | (1.37) | | | $ | (0.14) | | | $ | (0.14) | |
-Diluted | $ | (1.37) | | | $ | (0.19) | | | $ | (0.14) | |
Weighted average shares of Class A common stock outstanding | | | | | |
-Basic | 41,944,874 | | | 37,280,533 | | | 32,134,170 | |
-Diluted | 41,944,874 | | | 61,255,925 | | | 32,134,170 | |
MediaAlpha, Inc. and subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Operations
(In thousands, except share data and per share amounts)
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Three months ended December 31, |
| 2022 (unaudited) | | 2021 (unaudited) |
Revenue | $ | 124,007 | | | $ | 161,584 | |
Costs and operating expenses | | | |
Cost of revenue | 103,864 | | | 136,184 | |
Sales and marketing | 6,782 | | | 6,084 | |
Product development | 4,909 | | | 4,278 | |
General and administrative | 14,987 | | | 16,671 | |
Total costs and operating expenses | 130,542 | | | 163,217 | |
(Loss) from operations | (6,535) | | | (1,633) | |
Other (income) expense, net | (83,217) | | | 3,504 | |
Interest expense | 3,337 | | | 1,527 | |
Total other (income) expense, net | (79,880) | | | 5,031 | |
Income (loss) before income taxes | 73,345 | | | (6,664) | |
Income tax expense (benefit) | 101,695 | | | (2,683) | |
Net (loss) | $ | (28,350) | | | $ | (3,981) | |
| | | |
Net (loss) attributable to non-controlling interest | (1,385) | | | (2,162) | |
Net (loss) attributable to MediaAlpha, Inc. | $ | (26,965) | | | $ | (1,819) | |
Net (loss) per share of Class A common stock | | | |
-Basic | $ | (0.63) | | | $ | (0.05) | |
-Diluted | $ | (0.63) | | | $ | (0.10) | |
Weighted average shares of Class A common stock outstanding | | | |
-Basic | 42,989,666 | | | 39,815,466 | |
-Diluted | 42,989,666 | | | 59,575,024 | |
MediaAlpha, Inc. and subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(In thousands)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Year ended December 31, |
| 2022 (unaudited) | | 2021 | | 2020 |
Cash Flows from operating activities | | | | | |
Net (loss) income | $ | (72,446) | | | $ | (8,475) | | | $ | 10,562 | |
Adjustments to reconcile net (loss) income to net cash provided by operating activities: | | | | | |
Non-cash equity-based compensation expense | 58,472 | | | 45,713 | | | 24,745 | |
Non-cash lease expense | 753 | | | 594 | | | — | |
Depreciation expense on property and equipment | 392 | | | 369 | | | 289 | |
Amortization of intangible assets | 5,755 | | | 2,984 | | | 3,201 | |
Amortization of deferred debt issuance costs | 832 | | | 1,182 | | | 1,228 | |
Change in fair value of contingent consideration | (7,007) | | | — | | | — | |
Impairment of cost method investment | 8,594 | | | — | | | — | |
Loss on extinguishment of debt | — | | | — | | | 1,998 | |
Credit losses | 136 | | | 143 | | | 526 | |
Deferred taxes | 102,656 | | | 919 | | | (545) | |
Tax receivables agreement liability related adjustments | (83,832) | | | 911 | | | 413 | |
Changes in operating assets and liabilities: | | | | | |
Accounts receivable | 17,335 | | | 20,058 | | | (40,809) | |
Prepaid expenses and other current assets | 4,507 | | | (2,703) | | | (6,482) | |
Other assets | 417 | | | 500 | | | (4,375) | |
Accounts payable | (7,796) | | | (36,476) | | | 57,793 | |
Accrued expenses | (494) | | | 2,902 | | | 2,866 | |
Net cash provided by operating activities | $ | 28,274 | | | $ | 28,621 | | | $ | 51,410 | |
Cash flows from investing activities | | | | | |
Purchases of property and equipment | (98) | | | (650) | | | (296) | |
Cash consideration paid in connection with CHT acquisition | (49,677) | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | |
Purchase of cost method investment | — | | | — | | | (10,000) | |
Net cash (used in) investing activities | $ | (49,775) | | | $ | (650) | | | $ | (10,296) | |
Cash flows from financing activities | | | | | |
Proceeds received from: | | | | | |
Proceeds from issuance of Class A common stock, net of underwriter commission | — | | | — | | | 124,179 | |
Issuance of long-term debt | — | | | 190,000 | | | 210,000 | |
Revolving line of credit | 25,000 | | | — | | | 7,500 | |
Member contributions | — | | | — | | | — | |
Payments made for: | | | | | |
Repayments on revolving line of credit | (20,000) | | | — | | | (7,500) | |
Repayments on long-term debt | (9,500) | | | (186,375) | | | (123,648) | |
Debt issuance costs | — | | | (866) | | | (4,467) | |
Repurchase of Class B units at QLH up to fair value | — | | | — | | | (1,453) | |
IPO costs to third parties | — | | | — | | | (12,227) | |
Payments pursuant to tax receivable agreement | (216) | | | — | | | — | |
Shares withheld for taxes on vesting of restricted stock units | (4,023) | | | (3,382) | | | (4,235) | |
Repurchases of Class A common stock | (5,008) | | | — | | | — | |
Repurchase of Class B common stock | — | | | — | | | (84,320) | |
Contributions from QLH’s members | 1,360 | | | — | | | — | |
Distributions | (2,134) | | | (338) | | | (131,417) | |
Net cash (used in) financing activities | $ | (14,521) | | | $ | (961) | | | $ | (27,588) | |
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents | (36,022) | | | 27,010 | | | 13,526 | |
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period | 50,564 | | | 23,554 | | | 10,028 | |
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period | $ | 14,542 | | | $ | 50,564 | | | $ | 23,554 | |
Key business and operating metrics and Non-GAAP financial measures
Transaction Value
We define “Transaction Value” as the total gross dollars transacted by our partners on our platform. Transaction Value is a driver of revenue, with differing revenue recognition based on the economic relationship we have with our partners. Our partners use our platform to transact via Open and Private Marketplace transactions. In our Open Marketplace model, Transaction Value is equal to revenue recognized and revenue share payments to our supply partners represent costs of revenue. In our Private Marketplace model, revenue recognized represents a platform fee billed to the demand partner or supply partner based on an agreed-upon percentage of the Transaction Value for the Consumer Referrals transacted, and accordingly there are no associated costs of revenue. We utilize Transaction Value to assess revenue and to assess the overall level of transaction activity through our platform. We believe it is useful to investors to assess the overall level of activity on our platform and to better understand the sources of our revenue across our different transaction models and verticals.
The following table presents Transaction Value by platform model for the full years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Full year ended December 31, |
(dollars in thousands) | | 2022 | | 2021 |
Open Marketplace transactions | | $ | 445,950 | | | $ | 627,705 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | | 60.5 | % | | 61.6 | % |
Private Marketplace transactions | | 291,564 | | | 391,265 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | | 39.5 | % | | 38.4 | % |
Total Transaction Value | | $ | 737,514 | | | $ | 1,018,970 | |
The following table presents Transaction Value by platform model for the three months ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three months ended December 31, |
(dollars in thousands) | | 2022 | | 2021 |
Open Marketplace transactions | | $ | 121,942 | | | $ | 158,035 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | | 72.2 | % | | 64.5 | % |
Private Marketplace transactions | | 46,972 | | | 86,855 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | | 27.8 | % | | 35.5 | % |
Total Transaction Value | | $ | 168,914 | | | $ | 244,890 | |
The following table presents Transaction Value by vertical for the full years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Full year ended December 31, |
(dollars in thousands) | | 2022 | | 2021 |
Property & Casualty insurance | | $ | 399,861 | | | $ | 655,591 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | | 54.2 | % | | 64.3 | % |
Health insurance | | 251,400 | | | 245,221 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | | 34.1 | % | | 24.1 | % |
Life insurance | | 44,619 | | | 52,302 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | | 6.0 | % | | 5.1 | % |
Other(1) | | 41,634 | | | 65,856 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | | 5.6 | % | | 6.5 | % |
Total Transaction Value | | $ | 737,514 | | | $ | 1,018,970 | |
The following table presents Transaction Value by vertical for the three months ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three months ended December 31, |
(dollars in thousands) | | 2022 | | 2021 |
Property & Casualty insurance | | $ | 56,682 | | | $ | 120,143 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | | 33.6 | % | | 49.1 | % |
Health insurance | | 98,561 | | | 98,946 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | | 58.3 | % | | 40.4 | % |
Life insurance | | 8,181 | | | 10,566 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | | 4.8 | % | | 4.3 | % |
Other(1) | | 5,490 | | | 15,235 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | | 3.3 | % | | 6.2 | % |
Total Transaction Value | | $ | 168,914 | | | $ | 244,890 | |
(1)Our other verticals include Travel, Education and Consumer Finance.
Contribution and Contribution Margin
We define “Contribution” as revenue less revenue share payments and online advertising costs, or, as reported in our consolidated statement of operations, revenue less cost of revenue (i.e., gross profit), as adjusted to exclude the following items from cost of revenue: equity-based compensation; salaries, wages, and related costs; internet and hosting costs; amortization; depreciation; other services; and merchant-related fees. We define “Contribution Margin” as Contribution expressed as a percentage of revenue for the same period. Contribution and Contribution Margin are non-GAAP financial measures that we present to supplement the financial information we present on a GAAP basis. We use Contribution and Contribution Margin to measure the return on our relationships with our supply partners (excluding certain fixed costs), the financial return on and efficacy of our online advertising costs to drive consumers to our proprietary websites, and our operating leverage. We do not use Contribution and Contribution Margin as measures of overall profitability. We present Contribution and Contribution Margin because they are used by our management and board of directors to manage our operating performance, including evaluating our operational performance against budget and assessing our overall operating efficiency and operating leverage. For example, if Contribution increases and our headcount costs and other operating expenses remain steady, our Adjusted EBITDA and operating leverage increase. If Contribution Margin decreases, we may choose to re-evaluate and re-negotiate our revenue share agreements with our supply partners, to make optimization and pricing changes with respect to our bids for keywords from primary traffic acquisition sources, or to change our overall cost structure with respect to headcount, fixed costs and other costs. Other companies may calculate Contribution and Contribution Margin differently than we do. Contribution and Contribution Margin have their limitations as analytical tools, and you should not consider them in isolation or as substitutes for analysis of our results presented in accordance with GAAP.
The following table reconciles Contribution with gross profit, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, for the full years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
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| | Full year ended December 31, |
(in thousands) | | 2022 | | 2021 |
Revenue | | $ | 459,072 | | | $ | 645,274 | |
Less cost of revenue | | (389,013) | | | (543,750) | |
Gross profit | | 70,059 | | | 101,524 | |
Adjusted to exclude the following (as related to cost of revenue): | | | | |
Equity-based compensation | | 3,634 | | | 1,665 | |
Salaries, wages, and related | | 3,556 | | | 2,004 | |
Internet and hosting | | 496 | | | 419 | |
Depreciation | | 41 | | | 29 | |
Other expenses | | 720 | | | 451 | |
Other services | | 2,171 | | | 1,213 | |
Merchant-related fees | | 109 | | | 309 | |
Contribution | | 80,786 | | | 107,614 | |
Gross Margin | | 15.3 | % | | 15.7 | % |
Contribution Margin | | 17.6 | % | | 16.7 | % |
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The following table reconciles Contribution with gross profit, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, for the three months ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
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| | Three months ended December 31, |
(in thousands) | | 2022 | | 2021 |
Revenue | | $ | 124,007 | | | $ | 161,584 | |
Less cost of revenue | | (103,864) | | | (136,184) | |
Gross profit | | 20,143 | | | 25,400 | |
Adjusted to exclude the following (as related to cost of revenue): | | | | |
Equity-based compensation | | 997 | | | 376 | |
Salaries, wages, and related | | 877 | | | 481 | |
Internet and hosting | | 147 | | | 104 | |
Depreciation | | 11 | | | 7 | |
Other expenses | | 189 | | | 128 | |
Other services | | 573 | | | 366 | |
Merchant-related fees | | 10 | | | 23 | |
Contribution | | 22,947 | | | 26,885 | |
Gross Margin | | 16.2 | % | | 15.7 | % |
Contribution Margin | | 18.5 | % | | 16.6 | % |
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Adjusted EBITDA
We define “Adjusted EBITDA” as net income excluding interest expense, income tax benefit (expense), depreciation expense on property and equipment, amortization of intangible assets, as well as equity-based compensation expense and certain other adjustments as listed in the table below. Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that we present to supplement the financial information we present on a GAAP basis. We monitor and present Adjusted EBITDA because it is a key measure used by our management to understand and evaluate our operating performance, to establish budgets and to develop operational goals for managing our business. We believe that Adjusted EBITDA helps identify underlying trends in our business that could otherwise be masked by the effect of the expenses that we exclude in the calculations of Adjusted EBITDA. Accordingly, we believe that Adjusted EBITDA provides useful information to investors and others in understanding and evaluating our operating results, enhancing the overall understanding of our past performance and future prospects. In addition, presenting Adjusted EBITDA provides investors with a metric to evaluate the capital efficiency of our business.
Adjusted EBITDA is not presented in accordance with GAAP and should not be considered in isolation of, or as an alternative to, measures presented in accordance with GAAP. There are a number of limitations related to the use of Adjusted EBITDA rather than net income, which is the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. These limitations include the fact that Adjusted EBITDA excludes interest expense on debt, income tax benefit (expense), equity-based compensation expense, depreciation and amortization, and certain other adjustments that we consider useful information to investors and others in understanding and evaluating our operating results. In addition, other companies may use other measures to evaluate their performance, including different definitions of “Adjusted EBITDA,” which could reduce the usefulness of our Adjusted EBITDA as a tool for comparison.
The following table reconciles Adjusted EBITDA with net income, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, for the full years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Full year ended December 31, |
(in thousands) | | 2022 | | 2021 |
Net (loss) | | $ | (72,446) | | | $ | (8,475) | |
Equity-based compensation expense | | 58,472 | | | 45,713 | |
Interest expense | | 9,245 | | | 7,830 | |
Income tax expense (benefit)(1) | | 102,905 | | | (1,047) | |
Depreciation expense on property and equipment | | 392 | | | 369 | |
Amortization of intangible assets | | 5,755 | | | 2,984 | |
Transaction expenses(2) | | 636 | | | 4,128 | |
Employee-related costs(3) | | — | | | 674 | |
SOX implementation costs(4) | | 110 | | | 1,168 | |
Fair value adjustment to contingent consideration(5) | | (7,007) | | | — | |
Impairment of cost method investment | | 8,594 | | | — | |
Settlement costs(6) | | — | | | 859 | |
Changes in TRA related liability(7) | | (83,832) | | | 911 | |
Changes in Tax Indemnification Receivable(8) | | (58) | | | 1,360 | |
Non-cash compensation(9) | | — | | | 880 | |
Employee retention credits(10) | | — | | | (1,303) | |
Settlement of federal and state income tax refunds(11) | | 92 | | | 2,116 | |
Adjusted EBITDA | | $ | 22,858 | | | $ | 58,167 | |
(1)Income tax expense (benefit) for the year ended December 31, 2022, consists primarily of $84.5 million of tax expense related to recording a valuation allowance on our deferred tax assets as we determined that the negative evidence outweighs the positive evidence and so it is more likely than not that our deferred tax assets will not be utilized.
(2)Transaction expenses consist of $0.6 million of legal, accounting and other consulting fees incurred by us for the year ended December 31, 2022 in connection with the acquisition of CHT. For the year ended December 31, 2021, transaction expenses consist of $4.1 million of expenses for legal and accounting fees and other costs in connection with the Secondary Offering and other registration statements, and the refinancing of our 2020 Credit Facilities.
(3)Employee-related costs include $0.6 million of expenses incurred by us for the year ended December 31, 2021 for amounts payable to recruiting firms in connection with the hiring of certain executive officers to support our operation as a publicly-reporting company.
(4)SOX implementation costs consist of $0.1 million and $1.2 million of expenses incurred by us for the year ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively, for third-party consultants to assist us with the development, implementation, and documentation of new and enhanced internal controls and processes for compliance with SOX Section 404(b).
(5)Fair value adjustment to contingent consideration consists of $7.0 million of gain for the year ended December 31, 2022 in connection with the remeasurement of the contingent consideration for the acquisition of CHT as of December 31, 2022.
(6)Settlement costs consist of $0.9 million of expenses incurred by us for the year ended December 31, 2021 to settle certain claims made by the Attorney General's Office of the State of Washington.
(7)Changes in TRA related liability for the year ended December 31, 2022 consist of $83.3 million of gain on reduction of liability pursuant to the TRA resulting from remeasuring of the non-current portion of liability to zero as we no longer consider the payments under the agreement to be probable. Changes in TRA related liability for the year ended December 31, 2021 consist of $0.9 million of expense due to a change in the estimated future state tax benefits and other changes in the estimate, resulting in changes to the TRA liability created in connection with the Reorganization Transactions.
(8)Changes in Tax Indemnification Receivable consists of $0.1 million of income and $1.4 million of expense incurred by us for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively, related to changes in the tax indemnification receivable recorded in connection with the Reorganization Transactions. The change also resulted in an expense/benefit of the same amount which has been recorded within income tax expense (benefit).
(9)Non-cash compensation consists of $0.9 million of expenses incurred by us for the year ended December 31, 2021 for payment of annual bonuses to certain of our executive officers in the form of grants of restricted stock units, rather than in cash.
(10)Employee retention credits consist of $1.3 million of benefit for the year ended December 31, 2021 as a result of our receipt of employee retention credits under the provisions of the CARES Act.
(11)Settlement of federal and state tax refunds consist of $0.1 million and $2.1 million of expenses incurred by us for the year ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively, related to reimbursement to White Mountains for federal and state tax refunds for the period prior to the Reorganization Transaction related to 2020 federal and state tax returns. The settlement also resulted in a benefit of the same amount which has been recorded within income tax (benefit).
The following table reconciles Adjusted EBITDA with net income, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, for the three months ended December 31, 2022 and 2021.
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| | Three months ended December 31, |
(in thousands) | | 2022 | | 2021 |
Net loss | | $ | (28,350) | | | $ | (3,981) | |
Equity-based compensation expense | | 14,256 | | | 12,392 | |
Interest expense | | 3,337 | | | 1,527 | |
Income tax expense (benefit)(1) | | 101,695 | | | (2,683) | |
Depreciation expense on property and equipment | | 97 | | | 97 | |
Amortization of intangible assets | | 1,691 | | | 746 | |
Transaction expenses(2) | | — | | | 245 | |
Employee-related costs(3) | | — | | | 55 | |
SOX implementation costs(4) | | — | | | 371 | |
Fair value adjustment to contingent consideration(5) | | (416) | | | — | |
Settlement costs(6) | | — | | | 59 | |
Changes in TRA related liability(7) | | (83,255) | | | 1,515 | |
Changes in Tax Indemnification Receivable(8) | | (14) | | | 1,213 | |
Non-cash compensation(9) | | — | | | 880 | |
Employee retention credits(10) | | — | | | (1,303) | |
Settlement of federal and state income tax refunds(11) | | — | | | 2,116 | |
Adjusted EBITDA | | $ | 9,041 | | | $ | 13,249 | |
(1)Income tax expense (benefit) for the three months ended December 31, 2022, consists primarily of $86.4 million of tax expense related to recording a valuation allowance on our deferred tax assets as we determined that the negative evidence outweighs the positive evidence and so it is more likely than not that our deferred tax assets will not be utilized.
(2)Transaction expenses consist of $0.2 million of expenses incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2021 for legal and accounting fees and other costs in connection with the filing of registration statements.
(3)Employee-related costs include $0.1 million of expenses incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2021 for amounts payable to recruiting firms in connection with the hiring of certain executive officers to support our operation as a publicly-reporting company.
(4)SOX implementation costs consist of $0.4 million of expenses incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2021 for third-party consultants to assist us with the development, implementation, and documentation of new and enhanced internal controls and processes for compliance with SOX Section 404(b).
(5)Fair value adjustment to contingent consideration consists of $0.4 million of gain for the three months ended December 31, 2022 in connection with the remeasurement of the contingent consideration for the acquisition of CHT as of December 31, 2022.
(6)Settlement costs consist of $0.1 million of expenses incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2021 to settle certain claims made by the Attorney General's Office of the State of Washington.
(7)Changes in TRA related liability for the three months ended December 31, 2022 consist of $83.3 million of gain on reduction of liability pursuant to the TRA resulting from remeasuring of the non-current portion of liability to zero as we no longer consider the payments under the agreement to be probable. Changes in TRA related liability for three months ended December 31, 2021 consist of $1.5 million of expense due to a change in the estimated future state tax benefits and other changes in the estimate, resulting in changes to the TRA liability created in connection with the Reorganization Transactions.
(8)Changes in Tax Indemnification Receivable consist of immaterial income and $1.2 million of expense incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively, related to changes in the tax indemnification receivable recorded in connection with the Reorganization Transactions. The change also resulted in an expense/benefit of the same amount which has been recorded within income tax expense (benefit).
(9)Non-cash compensation consists of $0.9 million of expenses incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2021 for payment of annual bonuses to certain of our executive officers in the form of grants of restricted stock units, rather than in cash.
(10)Employee retention credits consist of $1.3 million of benefit for the three months ended December 31, 2021 as a result of our receipt of employee retention credits under the provisions of the CARES Act.
(11)Settlement of federal and state tax refunds consist of $2.1 million of expenses incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2021 related to reimbursement to White Mountains for federal and state tax refunds for the period prior to the Reorganization Transaction related to 2020 federal and state tax returns. The settlement also resulted in a benefit of the same amount which has been recorded within income tax (benefit).
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SHAREHOLDER LETTER Q4 & FULL YEAR 2022 |
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| Q4 | | | Year Ended | |
(in millions, except percentages) | 2021 | 2022 | YoY Change | | 2021 | 2022 | YoY Change |
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Revenue | $161.6 | $124.0 | (23.3)% | | $645.3 | $459.1 | (28.9)% |
Transaction Value 1 | $244.9 | $168.9 | (31.0)% | | $1,019.0 | $737.5 | (27.6)% |
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Gross Profit | $25.4 | $20.1 | (20.7)% | | $101.5 | $70.1 | (31.0)% |
Contribution 1 | $26.9 | $22.9 | (14.6)% | | $107.6 | $80.8 | (24.9)% |
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Net (Loss) | $(4.0) | $(28.4) | (612.1)% | | $(8.5) | $(72.4) | 754.8% |
Adjusted EBITDA 1 | $13.2 | $9.0 | (31.8)% | | $58.2 | $22.9 | (60.7)% |
__________________1.See “Key Business and Operating Metrics and Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for additional information regarding non-GAAP metrics used in this shareholder letter.
Our fourth quarter results exceeded our expectations across all metrics, driven primarily by better than expected top-line performance in our Health insurance vertical and disciplined expense management. Our results continued to be impacted by lower customer acquisition investments by property & casualty (P&C) insurance carriers, while health insurance carriers aggressively ramped activity on our platform during the quarter. Our heightened focus on seeking operating efficiencies across the business and disciplined expense management yielded a dramatic improvement in year-over-year cash operating expense growth over the course of the year. In a year we believe was the low point in the current underwriting cycle, we delivered positive Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, underscoring the efficiency of our operating model.
We saw strong performance in our Health vertical in Q4. Despite year-over-year spend decreases from brokers and aggregators, Transaction Value was roughly flat, driven by strong growth in demand from Medicare Advantage carriers. We expect demand from these carriers to continue to grow rapidly in the coming years as they compete aggressively to capture strong anticipated enrollment growth and increase their focus on direct customer acquisition. As a reminder, the fourth quarter typically represents approximately 40% of full year Transaction Value in our Health vertical due to the timing of the Medicare Annual Enrollment Period (AEP) and Affordable Care Act (ACA) Open Enrollment Periods (OEP). Looking ahead to the first quarter, our guidance reflects a sequential decline in our Health vertical in line with typical seasonality.
Our first quarter guidance reflects both a seasonal increase in the volume of transactions in our P&C vertical and a significant step-up in partner marketing spend as one major carrier has reached rate adequacy and is focused on growing their book of business. We are encouraged by this milestone, which has historically preceded a broader rebound in spend on our platform. We expect Transaction Value in our P&C vertical to nearly double sequentially in Q1, though we expect it to be down year over year as many carriers have yet to resume normal levels of marketing activity.
We are optimistic about the trajectory of our P&C insurance vertical in 2023. We expect P&C insurance industry underwriting profitability to improve this year as additional rate increases are approved and carriers realize the full revenue impact of recent and pending rate increases. On the consumer side, significantly higher policy rates should drive increased shopping behavior, and we expect Transaction Value growth to accelerate as our partners leverage the unparalleled scale, transparency and efficiency of our marketplaces to acquire these consumers.
Looking ahead, we expect the broad secular trends that drove our historical growth to resume as we come out of the P&C hard market. With only 25% of consumers purchasing insurance online today, increasing online penetration represents a long runway for growth. Furthermore, we expect competitive pressures to drive more carriers to embrace cost-effective direct to consumer distribution channels such as ours in the years ahead. Our marketplace model uniquely offers carriers and brokers access to insurance shoppers across hundreds of digital properties, while offering supply partners easy access to the largest buyers in the industry. With a strong balance sheet and efficient cost structure, we are well positioned to capitalize on this growth opportunity in the coming years.
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Financial Discussion - Transaction Value and Revenue Metrics |
During Q4 2022, Transaction Value declined 31% year over year to $168.9 million, driven primarily by cyclical headwinds in our P&C vertical, as well as by flat year-over-year performance in our Health vertical as key carriers continued to increase their investment in our channel while brokers reduced their demand. For the full year 2022, Transaction Value declined 28% year over year to $737.5 million. Transaction Value represents the total gross investment in customer acquisition executed by our partners on our platform and is one of the key metrics that reflects our ability to drive value for our partners and increase our share of wallet as budgets increasingly migrate online.
Transaction Value generated from our insurance verticals declined to $163.4 million in Q4 2022, down 29% year over year, driven by significant reductions in customer acquisition spend by P&C carriers. For the full year 2022, Transaction Value generated from our insurance verticals declined to $695.9 million, down 27% year over year.
Transaction Value from our P&C vertical declined 52.8% year over year to $56.7 million in Q4 2022, driven by reduced customer acquisition spend as carrier underwriting profitability remained under pressure due to inflation-related increases in loss severity. For the full year 2022, Transaction Value from our P&C vertical declined 39.0% year over year to $399.9 million.
Transaction Value from our Health vertical declined 0.4% year over year to $98.6 million in Q4 2022, driven by increased carrier marketing activity and budget allocation to our channel, with particular strength in Medicare, which was more than offset by reductions in spend from brokers. Q4 is typically seasonally strong in this vertical due to the annual and open enrollment periods for Medicare and under 65 Health insurance. For the full year 2022, Transaction Value from our Health vertical grew 2.5% year over year to $251.4 million.
Transaction Value from our Life vertical declined 22.6% year over year to $8.2 million in Q4 2022. Q4 2022 Transaction Value declined as mortality concerns related to COVID-19 continued to ease, shopping activity decreased and a key supply partner shifted focus away from Life insurance to Medicare, benefiting our Health vertical. For the full year 2022, Transaction Value from our Life vertical declined 14.7% year over year to $44.6 million.
Transaction Value from our Other vertical, which includes travel, education, and consumer finance, declined 64.0% year over year to $5.5 million in Q4 2022, driven by the wind down of our education vertical, which was completed as of the beginning of Q3 2022. Additionally, our consumer finance vertical faced headwinds as mortgage and refinance activity declined due to rising interest rates, with Transaction Value down 37% year over year. These declines were partially offset by strength in our Travel vertical. For the full year 2022, Transaction Value from our Other vertical declined 36.8% year over year to $41.6 million.
We generated $124.0 million of total revenue in Q4 2022, down 23.3% year over year, driven primarily by lower revenue from our P&C vertical. For the full year 2022, we generated $459.1 million of total revenue, down 28.9% year over year.
Revenue from our P&C vertical declined 54.3% year over year to $35.5 million in Q4 2022, driven by reductions in carrier marketing budgets. For the full year 2022, revenue from our P&C vertical declined 46.3% year over year to $224.4 million.
Revenue from our Health vertical grew 8.1% year over year to $78.7 million in Q4 2022, driven by increased demand from carriers transacting through the Open Marketplace in Medicare and expansion from key supply partners. For the full year 2022, revenue from our Health vertical grew 6.2% year over year to $187.4 million.
Revenue from our Life vertical declined 0.1% year over year to $5.7 million in Q4 2022, driven by the lower Transaction Value, offset by a higher proportion of Open Marketplace transactions. For the full year 2022, revenue from our Life vertical declined 6.6% year over year to $26.7 million.
Revenue from our Other vertical, which consists of travel, education, and consumer finance, declined 23.2% year over year to $4.1 million in Q4 2022, driven by the wind down of our education vertical and slower mortgage and refinance activity within our consumer finance vertical, partially offset by strength in our travel vertical. For the full year 2022, revenue from our Other vertical declined 8.5% year over year to $20.6 million.
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Financial Discussion - Profitability |
Gross profit was $20.1 million in Q4 2022, a year-over-year decrease of 20.7%. For the full year 2022, gross profit was $70.1 million, a year-over-year decline of 31.0%. Contribution, which generally represents revenue less revenue share payments and online advertising costs, was $22.9 million in Q4 2022, a year-over-year decrease of 14.6%. For the full year 2022, Contribution was $80.8 million, a year-over-year decline of 24.9%. Contribution Margin was 18.5% in Q4 2022, compared with 16.6% in Q4 2021. For the full year 2022, Contribution margin was 17.6%, compared with 16.7% in 2021. The increase was driven primarily by strong results in our Health vertical, which typically operates at a higher Contribution margin.
Net loss was $28.4 million in Q4 2022, compared with a net loss of $4.0 million in Q4 2021, driven primarily by higher income tax expense ($104 million) consisting primarily of recognition of a valuation allowance against our deferred tax asset ($86 million) and by lower Contribution ($4 million), partially offset by the write-off of our non-current liability pursuant to the Tax Receivable Agreement ($83 million). For the full year 2022, net loss was $72.4 million, compared with net loss of $8.5 million in 2021.
Adjusted EBITDA was $9.0 million in Q4 2022, a year-over-year decrease of 32%. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 7.3%, compared with 8.2% in Q4 2021. The decrease was primarily due to weaker revenue and Contribution performance. For the full year 2022, Adjusted EBITDA was $22.9 million, a year-over-year decrease of 61%.
Financial Discussion - Q1 2023 Outlook 1
Our guidance for Q1 2023 reflects typical seasonality along with an improvement in market conditions in our P&C insurance vertical compared with Q4 2022, although click pricing is expected to be down on a year-over-year basis. In our Health vertical, we expect modest year-over-year growth in Transaction Value growth as we continue deepening our relationships with key carriers. For the Life and Other verticals, we expect Transaction Value to decline year over year at a similar rate as in Q4 2022. Due to the uncertainty around the timing and slope of the P&C market recovery, we are not providing full year 2023 guidance.
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| | Q1 2023 |
Transaction Value 2 | | $180 million | - | $195 million |
Y/Y Growth | | (25)% | | (18)% |
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Revenue | | $106 million | - | $116 million |
Y/Y Growth | | (26)% | | (19)% |
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Adjusted EBITDA 2 | | $5.5 million | - | $7.5 million |
Y/Y Growth | | (23)% | | 5% |
Transaction Value: For Q1 2023, we expect Transaction Value to be in the range of $180 million - $195 million, representing a year-over-year decrease of 22% at the midpoint, driven primarily by our P&C vertical. We expect P&C Transaction Value to nearly double in Q1 2023 compared with Q4 2022, indicative of both the early stages of recovery from the hard market and normal seasonality. Although we are encouraged by these early signs of recovery, we still expect P&C Transaction Value to be well below Q1 2022 levels.
Revenue: For Q1 2023, we expect revenue to be in the range of $106 million - $116 million, representing a year-over-year decrease of 22% at the midpoint.
Adjusted EBITDA: For Q1 2023, we expect Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $5.5 million - $7.5 million, representing a year-over-year decrease of 9% at the midpoint. We expect Adjusted EBITDA to decline at a lower rate than Transaction Value, Revenue and Contribution in Q1 2023 due to our continued discipline in managing our expenses. We expect our cash operating expenses to be in line with Q4 2022.
Thank you, | | | | | | | | |
Steve Yi | | Patrick Thompson |
Chief Executive Officer, President and Co-Founder | | Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer |
1 With respect to the Company’s projection of Adjusted EBITDA under “Financial Discussion – Q1 2023 Outlook”, MediaAlpha is not providing a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to net income (loss) because the Company is unable to predict with reasonable certainty the reconciling items that may affect net income (loss) without unreasonable effort, including equity-based compensation, transaction expenses and income tax expense. These reconciling items are uncertain, depend on various factors and could significantly impact, either individually or in the aggregate, the GAAP measures for the applicable period.
2 See “Key Business and Operating Metrics and Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for additional information regarding non-GAAP metrics used in this shareholder letter.
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Key Business and Operating Metrics and Non-GAAP Financial Measures |
In addition to traditional financial metrics, we rely upon certain business and operating metrics that are not presented in accordance with GAAP to estimate the volume of spending on our platform, estimate and recognize revenue, evaluate our business performance and facilitate our operations. Such business and operating metrics should not be considered in isolation from, or as an alternative to, measures presented in accordance with GAAP and should be considered together with other operating and financial performance measures presented in accordance with GAAP. Also, such business and operating metrics may not necessarily be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies.
Transaction Value
We define “Transaction Value” as the total gross dollars transacted by our partners on our platform. Transaction Value is a driver of revenue, with differing revenue recognition based on the economic relationship we have with our partners. Our partners use our platform to transact via Open and Private Marketplace transactions. In our Open Marketplace model, Transaction Value is equal to revenue recognized and revenue share payments to our supply partners represent costs of revenue. In our Private Marketplace model, revenue recognized represents a platform fee billed to the demand partner or supply partner based on an agreed-upon percentage of the Transaction Value for the Consumer Referrals transacted, and accordingly there are no associated costs of revenue. We utilize Transaction Value to assess revenue and to assess the overall level of transaction activity through our platform. We believe it is useful to investors to assess the overall level of activity on our platform and to better understand the sources of our revenue across our different transaction models and verticals.
The following table presents Transaction Value by platform model for the three months ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
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| Three months ended December 31, |
(in thousands) | 2022 | | 2021 |
Open Marketplace transactions | $ | 121,942 | | | $ | 158,035 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | 72.2 | % | | 64.5 | % |
Private Marketplace transactions | 46,972 | | | 86,855 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | 27.8 | % | | 35.5 | % |
Total Transaction Value | $ | 168,914 | | | $ | 244,890 | |
The following table presents Transaction Value by platform model for the full years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
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| Full year ended December 31, |
(in thousands) | 2022 | | 2021 |
Open Marketplace transactions | $ | 445,950 | | | $ | 627,705 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | 60.5 | % | | 61.6 | % |
Private Marketplace transactions | 291,564 | | | 391,265 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | 39.5 | % | | 38.4 | % |
Total Transaction Value | $ | 737,514 | | | $ | 1,018,970 | |
The following table presents Transaction Value by vertical for the three months ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
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| Three months ended December 31, |
| 2022 | | 2021 |
(in thousands) | | | |
Property & Casualty insurance | $ | 56,682 | | | $ | 120,143 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | 33.6 | % | | 49.1 | % |
Health insurance | 98,561 | | | 98,946 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | 58.3 | % | | 40.4 | % |
Life insurance | 8,181 | | | 10,566 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | 4.8 | % | | 4.3 | % |
Other | 5,490 | | | 15,235 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | 3.3 | % | | 6.2 | % |
Total Transaction Value | $ | 168,914 | | | $ | 244,890 | |
The following table presents Transaction Value by vertical for the full years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Full year ended December 31, |
| 2022 | | 2021 |
(in thousands) | | | |
Property & Casualty insurance | $ | 399,861 | | | $ | 655,591 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | 54.2 | % | | 64.3 | % |
Health insurance | 251,400 | | | 245,221 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | 34.1 | % | | 24.1 | % |
Life insurance | 44,619 | | | 52,302 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | 6.0 | % | | 5.1 | % |
Other | 41,634 | | | 65,856 | |
Percentage of total Transaction Value | 5.6 | % | | 6.5 | % |
Total Transaction Value | $ | 737,514 | | | $ | 1,018,970 | |
Contribution and Contribution Margin
We define “Contribution” as revenue less revenue share payments and online advertising costs, or, as reported in our consolidated statement of operations, revenue less cost of revenue (i.e., gross profit), as adjusted to exclude the following items from cost of revenue: equity-based compensation; salaries, wages, and related costs; internet and hosting costs; amortization; depreciation; other services; and merchant-related fees. We define “Contribution Margin” as Contribution expressed as a percentage of revenue for the same period. Contribution and Contribution Margin are non-GAAP financial measures that we present to supplement the financial information we present on a GAAP basis. We use Contribution and Contribution Margin to measure the return on our relationships with our supply partners (excluding certain fixed costs), the financial return on and efficacy of our online advertising costs to drive consumers to our proprietary websites, and our operating leverage. We do not use Contribution and Contribution Margin as measures of overall profitability. We present Contribution and Contribution Margin because they are used by our management and board of directors to manage our operating performance, including evaluating our operational performance against budget and assessing our overall operating efficiency and operating leverage. For example, if Contribution increases and our headcount costs and other operating expenses remain steady, our Adjusted EBITDA and operating leverage increase. If Contribution Margin decreases, we may choose to re-evaluate and re-negotiate our revenue share agreements with our supply partners, to make optimization and pricing changes with respect to our bids for keywords from primary traffic acquisition sources, or to change our overall cost structure with respect to headcount, fixed costs and other costs. Other companies may calculate Contribution and Contribution Margin differently than we do. Contribution and Contribution Margin have their limitations as analytical tools, and you should not consider them in isolation or as substitutes for analysis of our results presented in accordance with GAAP.
The following table reconciles Contribution with gross profit, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, for the three months ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Three months ended December 31, |
(in thousands) | 2022 | | 2021 |
Revenue | $ | 124,007 | | | $ | 161,584 | |
Less cost of revenue | (103,864) | | | (136,184) | |
Gross profit | $ | 20,143 | | | $ | 25,400 | |
Adjusted to exclude the following (as related to cost of revenue): | | | |
Equity-based compensation | 997 | | | 376 | |
Salaries, wages, and related | 877 | | | 481 | |
Internet and hosting | 147 | | | 104 | |
Depreciation | 11 | | | 7 | |
Other expenses | 189 | | | 128 | |
Other services | 573 | | | 366 | |
Merchant-related fees | 10 | | | 23 | |
Contribution | $ | 22,947 | | | $ | 26,885 | |
Gross margin | 16.2 | % | | 15.7 | % |
Contribution Margin | 18.5 | % | | 16.6 | % |
The following table reconciles Contribution with gross profit, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, for the full years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Full year ended December 31, |
(in thousands) | 2022 | | 2021 |
Revenue | $ | 459,072 | | | $ | 645,274 | |
Less cost of revenue | (389,013) | | | (543,750) | |
Gross profit | $ | 70,059 | | | $ | 101,524 | |
Adjusted to exclude the following (as related to cost of revenue): | | | |
Equity-based compensation | 3,634 | | | 1,665 | |
Salaries, wages, and related | 3,556 | | | 2,004 | |
Internet and hosting | 496 | | | 419 | |
Depreciation | 41 | | | 29 | |
Other expenses | 720 | | | 451 | |
Other services | 2,171 | | | 1,213 | |
Merchant-related fees | 109 | | | 309 | |
Contribution | $ | 80,786 | | | $ | 107,614 | |
Gross margin | 15.3 | % | | 15.7 | % |
Contribution Margin | 17.6 | % | | 16.7 | % |
Consumer Referrals
We define “Consumer Referral” as any consumer click, call or lead purchased by a buyer on our platform. Click revenue is recognized on a pay-per-click basis and revenue is earned and recognized when a consumer clicks on a listed buyer’s advertisement that is presented subsequent to the consumer’s search (e.g., auto insurance quote search or health insurance quote search). Call revenue is earned and recognized when a consumer transfers to a buyer and remains engaged for a requisite duration of time, as specified by each buyer. Lead revenue is recognized when we deliver data leads to buyers. Data leads are generated either through insurance carriers, insurance-focused research destination websites or other financial websites that make the data leads available for purchase through our platform, or when consumers complete a full quote request on our proprietary websites. Delivery occurs at the time of lead transfer. The data we generate from each Consumer Referral feeds into our analytics model to generate conversion probabilities for each unique consumer, enabling discovery of predicted return and cost per sale across the platform and helping us to improve our platform technology. We monitor the number of Consumer Referrals on our platform in order to measure Transaction Value, revenue and overall business performance across our verticals and platform models.
The following table presents the percentages of total Transaction Value generated from clicks, calls and leads for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Year Ended December 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 |
Clicks | | 75.3 | % | | 79.3 | % |
Calls | | 15.3 | % | | 9.5 | % |
Leads | | 9.4 | % | | 11.3 | % |
Adjusted EBITDA
We define “Adjusted EBITDA” as net income excluding interest expense, income tax benefit (expense), depreciation expense on property and equipment, amortization of intangible assets, as well as equity-based compensation expense and certain other adjustments as listed in the table below. We define “Adjusted EBITDA Margin” as Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of revenue. Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that we present to supplement the financial information we present on a GAAP basis. We monitor and present Adjusted EBITDA because it is a key measure used by our management to understand and evaluate our operating performance, to establish budgets and to develop operational goals for managing our business. We believe that Adjusted EBITDA helps identify underlying trends in our business that could otherwise be masked by the effect of the expenses that we exclude in the calculations of Adjusted EBITDA. Accordingly, we believe that Adjusted EBITDA provides useful information to investors and others in understanding and evaluating our operating results, enhancing the overall understanding of our past performance and future prospects. In addition, presenting Adjusted EBITDA provides investors with a metric to evaluate the capital efficiency of our business.
Adjusted EBITDA is not presented in accordance with GAAP and should not be considered in isolation of, or as an alternative to, measures presented in accordance with GAAP. There are a number of limitations related to the use of Adjusted EBITDA rather than net income, which is the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. These limitations include the fact that Adjusted EBITDA excludes interest expense on debt, income tax benefit (expense), equity-based compensation expense, depreciation and amortization, and certain other adjustments that we consider useful information to investors and others in understanding and evaluating our
operating results. In addition, other companies may use other measures to evaluate their performance, including different definitions of “Adjusted EBITDA,” which could reduce the usefulness of our Adjusted EBITDA as a tool for comparison.
The following table reconciles Adjusted EBITDA with net (loss), the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, for the three months ended December 31, 2022 and 2021.
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Three months ended December 31, |
(in thousands) | 2022 | | 2021 |
Net loss | $ | (28,350) | | | $ | (3,981) | |
Equity-based compensation expense | 14,256 | | | 12,392 | |
Interest expense | 3,337 | | | 1,527 | |
Income tax expense (benefit)(1) | 101,695 | | | (2,683) | |
Depreciation expense on property and equipment | 97 | | | 97 | |
Amortization of intangible assets | 1,691 | | | 746 | |
Transaction expenses(2) | — | | | 245 | |
Employee-related costs(3) | — | | | 55 | |
SOX implementation costs(4) | — | | | 371 | |
Fair value adjustment to contingent consideration(5) | (416) | | | — | |
Settlement costs(6) | — | | | 59 | |
Changes in TRA related liability(7) | (83,255) | | | 1,515 | |
Changes in Tax Indemnification Receivable(8) | (14) | | | 1,213 | |
Non-cash compensation(9) | — | | | 880 | |
Employee retention credits(10) | — | | | (1,303) | |
Settlement of federal and state income tax refunds(11) | — | | | 2,116 | |
Adjusted EBITDA | $ | 9,041 | | | $ | 13,249 | |
(1)Income tax expense (benefit) for the three months ended December 31, 2022, consists primarily of $86.4 million of tax expense related to recording a valuation allowance on our deferred tax assets as we determined that the negative evidence outweighs the positive evidence and so it is more likely than not that our deferred tax assets will not be utilized.
(2)Transaction expenses consist of $0.2 million of expenses incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2021 for legal and accounting fees and other costs in connection with the filing of registration statements.
(3)Employee-related costs include $0.1 million of expenses incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2021 for amounts payable to recruiting firms in connection with the hiring of certain executive officers to support our operation as a publicly-reporting company.
(4)SOX implementation costs consist of $0.4 million of expenses incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2021 for third-party consultants to assist us with the development, implementation, and documentation of new and enhanced internal controls and processes for compliance with SOX Section 404(b).
(5)Fair value adjustment to contingent consideration consists of $0.4 million of gain for the three months ended December 31, 2022 in connection with the remeasurement of the contingent consideration for the acquisition of CHT as of December 31, 2022.
(6)Settlement costs consist of $0.1 million of expenses incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2021 to settle certain claims made by the Attorney General's Office of the State of Washington.
(7)Changes in TRA related liability for the three months ended December 31, 2022 consist of $83.3 million of gain on reduction of liability pursuant to the TRA resulting from remeasuring of the non-current portion of liability to zero as we no longer consider the payments under the agreement to be probable. Changes in TRA related liability for three months ended December 31, 2021 consist of $1.5 million of expense due to a change in the estimated future state tax benefits and other changes in the estimate, resulting in changes to the TRA liability created in connection with the Reorganization Transactions.
(8)Changes in Tax Indemnification Receivable consist of immaterial income and $1.2 million of expense incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively, related to changes in the tax indemnification receivable recorded in connection with the Reorganization Transactions. The change also resulted in an expense/benefit of the same amount which has been recorded within income tax expense (benefit).
(9)Non-cash compensation consists of $0.9 million of expenses incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2021 for payment of annual bonuses to certain of our executive officers in the form of grants of restricted stock units, rather than in cash.
(10)Employee retention credits consist of $1.3 million of benefit for the three months ended December 31, 2021 as a result of our receipt of employee retention credits under the provisions of the CARES Act.
(11)Settlement of federal and state tax refunds consist of $2.1 million of expenses incurred by us for the three months ended December 31, 2021 related to reimbursement to White Mountains for federal and state tax refunds for the period prior to the Reorganization Transaction related to 2020 federal and state tax returns. The settlement also resulted in a benefit of the same amount which has been recorded within income tax (benefit).
The following table reconciles Adjusted EBITDA with net (loss), the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, for the full years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021.
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Full year ended December 31, |
(in thousands) | 2022 | | 2021 |
Net (loss) | $ | (72,446) | | | $ | (8,475) | |
Equity-based compensation expense | 58,472 | | | 45,713 | |
Interest expense | 9,245 | | | 7,830 | |
Income tax expense (benefit)(1) | 102,905 | | | (1,047) | |
Depreciation expense on property and equipment | 392 | | | 369 | |
Amortization of intangible assets | 5,755 | | | 2,984 | |
Transaction expenses(2) | 636 | | | 4,128 | |
Employee-related costs(3) | — | | | 674 | |
SOX implementation costs(4) | 110 | | | 1,168 | |
Fair value adjustment to contingent consideration(5) | (7,007) | | | — | |
Impairment of cost method investment | 8,594 | | | — | |
Settlement costs(6) | — | | | 859 | |
Changes in TRA related liability(7) | (83,832) | | | 911 | |
Changes in Tax Indemnification Receivable(8) | (58) | | | 1,360 | |
Non-cash compensation(9) | — | | | 880 | |
Employee retention credits(10) | — | | | (1,303) | |
Settlement of federal and state income tax refunds(11) | 92 | | | 2,116 | |
Adjusted EBITDA | $ | 22,858 | | | $ | 58,167 | |
(1)Income tax expense (benefit) for the year ended December 31, 2022, consists primarily of $84.5 million of tax expense related to recording a valuation allowance on our deferred tax assets as we determined that the negative evidence outweighs the positive evidence and so it is more likely than not that our deferred tax assets will not be utilized.
(2)Transaction expenses consist of $0.6 million of legal, accounting and other consulting fees incurred by us for the year ended December 31, 2022 in connection with the acquisition of CHT. For the year ended December 31, 2021, transaction expenses consist of $4.1 million of expenses for legal and accounting fees and other costs in connection with the Secondary Offering and other registration statements, and the refinancing of our 2020 Credit Facilities.
(3)Employee-related costs include $0.6 million of expenses incurred by us for the year ended December 31, 2021 for amounts payable to recruiting firms in connection with the hiring of certain executive officers to support our operation as a publicly-reporting company.
(4)SOX implementation costs consist of $0.1 million and $1.2 million of expenses incurred by us for the year ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively, for third-party consultants to assist us with the development, implementation, and documentation of new and enhanced internal controls and processes for compliance with SOX Section 404(b).
(5)Fair value adjustment to contingent consideration consists of $7.0 million of gain for the year ended December 31, 2022 in connection with the remeasurement of the contingent consideration for the acquisition of CHT as of December 31, 2022.
(6)Settlement costs consist of $0.9 million of expenses incurred by us for the year ended December 31, 2021 to settle certain claims made by the Attorney General's Office of the State of Washington.
(7)Changes in TRA related liability for the year ended December 31, 2022 consist of $83.3 million of gain on reduction of liability pursuant to the TRA resulting from remeasuring of the non-current portion of liability to zero as we no longer consider the payments under the agreement to be probable. Changes in TRA related liability for the year ended December 31, 2021 consist of $0.9 million of expense due to a change in the estimated future state tax benefits and other changes in the estimate, resulting in changes to the TRA liability created in connection with the Reorganization Transactions.
(8)Changes in Tax Indemnification Receivable consists of $0.1 million of income and $1.4 million of expense incurred by us for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively, related to changes in the tax indemnification receivable recorded in connection with the Reorganization Transactions. The change also resulted in an expense/benefit of the same amount which has been recorded within income tax expense (benefit).
(9)Non-cash compensation consists of $0.9 million of expenses incurred by us for the year ended December 31, 2021 for payment of annual bonuses to certain of our executive officers in the form of grants of restricted stock units, rather than in cash.
(10)Employee retention credits consist of $1.3 million of benefit for the year ended December 31, 2021 as a result of our receipt of employee retention credits under the provisions of the CARES Act.
(11)Settlement of federal and state tax refunds consist of $0.1 million and $2.1 million of expenses incurred by us for the year ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively, related to reimbursement to White Mountains for federal and state tax refunds for the period prior to the Reorganization Transaction related to 2020 federal and state tax returns. The settlement also resulted in a benefit of the same amount which has been recorded within income tax (benefit).
Forward-Looking Statements
This shareholder letter contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including without limitation statements regarding our expectation that Medicare Advantage carrier demand will continue to grow rapidly in the coming years; our expectation that Transaction Value in our P&C vertical will nearly double in the first quarter on a sequential basis; our expectation that Transaction Value in our P&C vertical will accelerate in 2023; our expectation that the broad secular trends driving our growth will resume as we come out of the P&C hard market; and our financial outlook for the first quarter of 2023. These forward-looking statements reflect our current views with respect to, among other things, future events and our financial performance. These statements are often, but not always, made through the use of words or phrases such as “may,” “should,” “could,” “predict,” “potential,” “believe,” “will likely result,” “expect,” “continue,” “will,” “anticipate,” “seek,” “estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “projection,” “would,” and “outlook,” or the negative version of those words or other comparable words or phrases of a future or forward-looking nature. These forward-looking statements are not historical facts, and are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about our industry, management’s beliefs and certain assumptions made by management, many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and beyond our control. Accordingly, we caution you that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, assumptions and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable as of the date made, actual results may prove to be materially different from the results expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.
There are or will be important factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these forward-looking statements, including those more fully described in MediaAlpha’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including the Form 10-K as of and for the year ended December 31, 2022 to be filed on or about February 27, 2023. These factors should not be construed as exhaustive. MediaAlpha disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that occur after the date of this shareholder letter.